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Red81
151935.8
13161.5
178621.6
Blue65
208423.5
9729.5
17235.3
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions134810501001502002503003508165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
131
#2
61.50.7
63.763.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 26.2
172
#8
35.30.4
35.735.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
35.80.7
38.037.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.2
97
#14
29.50.5
30.029.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1786
#25
21.60.7
23.923.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.9
2084
#20
23.50.4
24.023.5
Auto
Teleop
End