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Red158
331442.8
36561.7
108943.9
Blue172
436128.6
29360.4
19362.1
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions147150050100200250300350158172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
365
#9
61.70.2
61.561.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
193
#16
62.10.4
61.762.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1089
#19
43.90.2
43.743.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 16.5
293
#3
60.40.4
60.060.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
42.80.2
42.642.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.1
4361
#39
28.60.4
28.328.6
Auto
Teleop
End