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Red150
22417.5
167230.8
260763.0
Blue102
219148.8
19362.1
255416.7
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10286050150200250150102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.02.5
62.865.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
193
#16
62.10.7
45.245.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1672
#11
30.82.5
20.122.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 18.0
2191
#10
48.80.7
36.236.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
224
#37
17.52.5
16.819.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
2554
#36
16.70.7
7.27.9
Auto
Teleop
End