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Red170
127948.9
86957.7
351512.9
Blue112
21911.0
139139.6
140345.2
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11168050150200250300170112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
869
#6
57.73.3
53.857.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.5
1403
#17
45.21.9
39.941.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1279
#12
48.93.3
44.447.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.3
1391
#15
39.61.9
26.428.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3515
#24
12.93.3
5.79.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.9
219
#41
11.01.9
8.510.4
Auto
Teleop
End