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Red178
465012.8
167230.8
219148.8
Blue100
7545.0
436128.6
446026.6
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6496050150200178100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2191
#10
48.85.4
36.942.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.8
75
#2
45.00.5
43.143.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1672
#11
30.85.4
20.726.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.2
4361
#39
28.60.5
20.521.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4650
#27
12.85.4
11.717.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.8
4460
#35
26.60.5
27.127.6
Auto
Teleop
End