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Red215
19362.1
125727.0
10340.5
Blue95
36561.7
6138.4
245813.7
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12150010015020025021595

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
193
#16
62.15.3
48.453.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
365
#9
61.71.7
46.348.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
103
#13
40.55.3
39.444.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 26.8
2458
#22
13.71.7
6.07.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1257
#18
27.05.3
21.827.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 18.6
613
#34
8.41.7
8.310.0
Auto
Teleop
End