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Red88
108943.9
19362.1
245813.7
Blue172
428137.5
167652.2
29360.4
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9010005015020088172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
193
#16
62.10.2
42.342.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.7
293
#3
60.43.7
37.541.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1089
#19
43.90.2
44.744.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.3
52.23.7
42.145.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2458
#22
13.70.2
4.84.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 23.8
4281
#28
37.53.7
18.822.5
Auto
Teleop
End