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Red151
167230.8
465328.1
139139.6
Blue55
457333.6
137013.2
89612.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7759010015020025015155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1391
#15
39.63.8
28.232.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.0
4573
#21
33.60.3
33.833.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1672
#11
30.83.8
26.130.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.6
1370
#42
13.20.3
12.812.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4653
#31
28.13.8
19.723.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.4
896
#46
12.60.6
15.014.5
Auto
Teleop
End