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Red132
363733.5
446026.6
198937.3
Blue152
218049.5
457333.6
257725.2
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions94109050150200250132152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1989
#20
37.31.8
43.345.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.2
2180
#14
49.52.2
48.851.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3637
#29
33.51.8
24.626.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
4573
#21
33.62.2
33.736.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4460
#35
26.61.8
28.830.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.4
2577
#38
25.22.2
24.526.7
Auto
Teleop
End