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Red180
86957.7
7529.7
198937.3
Blue103
219148.8
71417.6
127948.9
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7589050100150180103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
869
#6
57.75.1
40.745.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.8
1279
#12
48.90.8
35.436.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1989
#20
37.35.1
27.232.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.6
2191
#10
48.80.8
36.837.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
752
#40
9.75.1
9.614.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.0
714
#33
17.60.8
14.815.6
Auto
Teleop
End