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Red76
198928.6
130236.9
457327.0
Blue116
125720.6
86940.7
162640.7
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9210305015020076116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1302
#18
36.90.3
37.236.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.7
869
#15
40.70.2
40.440.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
28.60.3
28.928.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.1
40.70.3
40.440.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4573
#16
27.00.3
27.327.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.3
1257
#21
20.60.2
20.420.6
Auto
Teleop
End