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Red128
331435.2
314219.4
22327.6
Blue16
4112.5
465315.9
447523.6
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8548010015020012816

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.20.8
34.335.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.6
4475
#24
23.60.6
24.223.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
223
#13
27.60.8
26.727.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.7
15.90.6
16.515.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3142
#19
19.40.8
18.519.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.9
41
#8
12.50.6
13.112.5
Auto
Teleop
End