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Red59
167642.1
465315.9
130236.9
Blue82
162640.7
19342.3
403513.4
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions96660501502005982

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.11.6
42.240.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
193
#1
42.30.6
33.934.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1302
#18
36.91.6
28.226.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.7
40.70.9
30.631.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
15.91.6
21.419.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.5
4035
#12
13.40.6
6.36.9
Auto
Teleop
End