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Red128
22249.0
428516.7
140336.7
Blue144
5641.7
7536.0
257721.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1029650150200128144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
222
#8
49.00.5
48.649.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.3
56
#15
41.70.8
40.941.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
36.70.5
36.236.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
75
#3
36.00.8
35.336.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4285
#34
16.70.5
16.216.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.1
2577
#18
21.80.8
21.021.8
Auto
Teleop
End