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Red132
22249.0
140336.7
428516.7
Blue121
130220.5
428118.8
55521.5
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions108480150200132121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
222
#8
49.00.6
47.948.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 27.5
555
#11
21.51.1
20.521.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
36.70.6
35.536.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.1
1302
#23
20.51.1
19.520.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4285
#34
16.70.6
15.516.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.2
4281
#12
18.81.1
17.818.8
Auto
Teleop
End