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Red25
257721.8
363716.8
55521.5
Blue5
137014.3
428516.7
122824.8
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48980150200250255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2577
#18
21.82.6
15.713.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.1
1228
#25
24.87.1
30.223.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
555
#11
21.52.6
21.619.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.9
4285
#34
16.77.1
30.723.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3637
#21
16.82.6
18.415.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.5
1370
#36
14.37.1
29.522.3
Auto
Teleop
End