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Red55
6135.4
20706.6
465014.5
Blue12
40359.2
137014.3
2658.6
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions374601001502005512

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4650
#13
14.51.4
9.911.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
1370
#36
14.32.7
22.519.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2070
#27
6.61.4
14.716.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.5
4035
#22
9.22.7
9.97.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
613
#29
5.41.4
13.815.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.2
265
#26
8.62.7
12.29.5
Auto
Teleop
End