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Red150
465317.3
5641.7
331435.5
Blue132
314218.8
122824.8
22249.0
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8577050100150200150132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56
#15
41.75.5
36.742.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.3
222
#8
49.04.5
33.437.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3314
#10
35.55.5
32.237.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.7
1228
#25
24.84.5
22.126.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4653
#19
17.35.5
15.120.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.5
3142
#30
18.84.5
22.627.1
Auto
Teleop
End