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Red45
140336.7
314218.8
24584.8
Blue22
363716.8
25542.8
2658.6
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75200501001502004522

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.71.5
37.335.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 19.9
3637
#21
16.80.4
17.717.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3142
#30
18.81.5
20.418.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.2
265
#26
8.60.4
9.89.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2458
#37
4.81.5
8.36.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.0
2554
#28
2.80.4
0.70.2
Auto
Teleop
End