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Red30
192343.4
1127.6
2199.7
Blue109
7536.0
5641.7
257721.8
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions779805015020030109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.40.8
43.242.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
56
#15
41.70.2
40.040.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
11
#7
27.60.8
27.426.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.5
75
#3
36.00.2
34.434.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
219
#32
9.70.8
9.58.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.0
2577
#18
21.80.2
20.120.3
Auto
Teleop
End