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Red111
27240.6
219136.8
20329.4
Blue148
34141.3
108944.7
48444.3
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions103130050150200250300111148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
272
#6
40.60.1
40.840.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.1
1089
#24
44.70.4
43.243.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2191
#19
36.80.1
37.037.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.6
484
#7
44.30.4
42.943.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
203
#14
29.40.1
29.629.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.0
341
#9
41.30.4
39.940.3
Auto
Teleop
End