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Red117
42317.9
70926.7
218044.9
Blue114
360733.5
32120.0
475023.1
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72500100150200117114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2180
#25
44.92.4
37.840.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.4
3607
#31
33.53.0
27.530.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
709
#20
26.72.4
17.519.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.6
4750
#30
23.13.0
12.515.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
423
#21
17.92.4
13.515.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.0
321
#36
20.03.0
13.416.5
Auto
Teleop
End