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Red153
179111.0
392946.7
316721.5
Blue126
463719.7
315132.5
249541.0
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61780100150200250153126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3929
#10
46.74.5
33.137.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.7
2495
#15
41.02.5
33.235.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3167
#13
21.54.5
17.021.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.0
3151
#29
32.52.5
26.328.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1791
#23
11.04.5
13.618.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.7
4637
#33
19.72.5
15.718.3
Auto
Teleop
End