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Red136
259085.1
219136.8
22325.6
Blue112
31650.9
255944.4
511331.8
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions143112050200250300350136112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85.10.1
79.779.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 34.2
316
#17
50.90.3
48.147.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2191
#19
36.80.2
28.127.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.6
2559
#22
44.40.3
35.234.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
223
#28
25.60.1
30.530.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.3
5113
#12
31.80.3
33.833.5
Auto
Teleop
End