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Red47
20416.7
316721.5
511331.8
Blue28
26008.2
81623.5
360733.5
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions835501001502002504728

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5113
#12
31.81.6
33.532.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.7
3607
#31
33.51.5
30.528.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3167
#13
21.51.6
21.519.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.1
816
#8
23.51.5
22.921.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
204
#34
16.71.6
23.221.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.6
2600
#37
8.21.5
5.64.0
Auto
Teleop
End