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Red206
511331.8
34141.3
164759.1
Blue121
392946.7
219136.8
315132.5
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions100560150200250206121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.15.6
47.352.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.5
3929
#10
46.72.9
24.127.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
341
#9
41.35.6
23.729.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.5
2191
#19
36.84.8
17.722.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5113
#12
31.85.6
22.327.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
3151
#29
32.52.9
21.224.1
Auto
Teleop
End