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Red121
511331.8
463719.7
108944.7
Blue111
18079.3
32120.0
446026.9
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions99440150200250300121111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1089
#24
44.72.1
41.343.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.8
4460
#26
26.93.9
28.632.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5113
#12
31.81.5
31.032.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.9
321
#36
20.02.9
17.720.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4637
#33
19.71.5
17.919.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.4
1807
#32
9.32.9
6.29.2
Auto
Teleop
End