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Red141
31650.9
255944.4
392946.7
Blue110
218044.9
81623.5
70838.2
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions142100050200250300141110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
316
#17
50.90.1
48.648.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.0
2180
#25
44.90.1
44.944.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3929
#10
46.70.1
44.444.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.4
708
#16
38.20.1
38.238.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2559
#22
44.40.1
42.142.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 20.9
816
#8
23.50.1
23.423.5
Auto
Teleop
End