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Quarterfinal 2-22014 Las Vegas Regional
Red170
325550.6
153868.3
301934.7
Blue112
427652.1
432227.1
330950.4
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions163125050100200250300170112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1538
#19
68.30.2
69.3→69.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 16.2
4276
#25
52.10.3
52.4→52.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
3255
#6
50.60.2
51.7→51.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.2
3309
#7
50.40.3
50.7→50.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3019
#23
34.70.2
35.8→36.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 7.6
4322
#24
27.10.3
27.4→27.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—