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Red97
301934.7
480027.1
119741.3
Blue101
203429.0
496224.2
347328.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions746905010015097101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1197
#38
41.31.6
36.037.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.3
2034
#32
29.02.6
25.327.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3019
#23
34.71.5
17.318.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.4
3473
#26
28.31.6
29.931.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4800
#28
27.12.0
19.721.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.9
4962
#29
24.21.9
14.816.7
Auto
Teleop
End