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Qual 162014 Las Vegas Regional
Red111
163117.7
153868.3
249316.8
Blue105
5859.2
248660.0
347681.2
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions85154050100200250300111105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1538
#19
68.30.7
67.2→68.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 12.9
3476
#10
81.21.9
69.7→67.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1631
#31
17.71.2
17.1→18.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 42.3
2486
#20
60.02.1
62.9→60.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
2493
#33
16.80.7
11.8→12.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 7.6
585
#50
9.21.9
10.7→8.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—