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Red111
359841.8
300943.1
116543.3
Blue101
68723.7
427652.1
357723.1
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12292050150200250111101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1165
#17
43.30.4
35.735.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.8
4276
#25
52.10.2
44.044.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3009
#30
43.10.3
48.848.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 19.3
687
#45
23.70.2
29.729.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3598
#18
41.80.3
32.932.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 18.7
3577
#39
23.10.2
23.123.3
Auto
Teleop
End