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Red86
350135.5
300943.1
240326.5
Blue151
347328.3
5859.2
324547.5
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1016905015020025086151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3009
#30
43.10.5
48.548.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.5
3245
#12
47.53.8
35.939.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3501
#43
35.50.5
22.221.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.2
3473
#26
28.33.8
30.634.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2403
#14
26.50.5
25.324.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.3
585
#50
9.23.8
7.811.6
Auto
Teleop
End