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Qual 382014 Las Vegas Regional
Red101
357723.1
324547.5
153868.3
Blue137
414637.0
330950.4
151528.3
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions138116050100200250300101137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1538
#19
68.31.7
72.1→70.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 17.9
3309
#7
50.40.9
57.0→57.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
3245
#12
47.51.7
39.7→38.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 10.6
4146
#13
37.00.9
32.3→33.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3577
#39
23.11.7
22.9→21.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 5.2
1515
#44
28.30.9
29.8→30.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—