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Red16
414637.0
479216.3
504914.6
Blue157
300943.1
396542.1
301934.7
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59104015020016157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4146
#13
37.02.5
33.230.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.1
3009
#30
43.13.0
45.748.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4792
#41
16.32.5
14.612.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 25.7
3965
#36
42.13.0
29.732.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5049
#48
14.64.2
18.214.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 20.1
3019
#23
34.73.0
22.025.0
Auto
Teleop
End