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Red123
301120.8
166126.3
6042.8
Blue67
163117.7
5859.2
116543.3
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6759020408010012014012367

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60
#8
42.83.8
33.036.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
1165
#17
43.30.5
33.233.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1661
#34
26.33.5
19.723.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.6
1631
#31
17.70.6
16.617.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3011
#27
20.83.2
12.916.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.7
585
#50
9.20.3
10.410.7
Auto
Teleop
End