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Red165
301934.7
427652.1
163117.7
Blue148
396542.1
44709.9
119741.3
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8179050100150200165148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4276
#25
52.14.2
44.048.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.0
3965
#36
42.13.4
32.736.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3019
#23
34.74.2
25.029.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.5
1197
#38
41.33.4
35.639.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1631
#31
17.77.0
11.818.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.8
4470
#49
9.95.7
11.116.8
Auto
Teleop
End