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Qual 562014 Las Vegas Regional
Red100
151528.3
347328.3
416014.8
Blue135
501223.3
68723.7
172655.2
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66116050100150200250100135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1515
#44
28.31.3
29.0→30.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 26.9
1726
#35
55.21.3
62.0→63.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
3473
#26
28.31.3
33.0→34.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 4.6
687
#45
23.71.3
22.2→23.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
4160
#46
14.81.3
12.2→13.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 8.5
5012
#42
23.31.3
24.0→25.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—