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Red106
248660.0
328841.6
504914.6
Blue286
301120.8
350135.5
248589.3
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions111123050150200250106286

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2486
#20
60.00.3
56.356.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 29.3
89.38.2
83.691.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3288
#21
41.60.3
42.442.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.1
3501
#43
35.58.2
24.933.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5049
#48
14.60.6
14.013.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.2
3011
#27
20.88.2
12.620.9
Auto
Teleop
End