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Red95
119741.3
300943.1
504914.6
Blue93
6042.8
416014.8
318728.5
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions106800501502002509593

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3009
#30
43.10.4
49.649.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
60
#8
42.80.5
39.740.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1197
#38
41.30.4
39.038.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.8
3187
#40
28.50.5
30.631.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5049
#48
14.60.6
13.512.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
4160
#46
14.80.5
13.514.0
Auto
Teleop
End