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Qual 662014 Las Vegas Regional
Red140
359841.8
301120.8
98790.6
Blue111
166126.3
151528.3
324547.5
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16384050100200250300350140111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
987
#5
90.60.5
92.8→92.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 43.0
3245
#12
47.50.7
39.8→40.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
3598
#18
41.80.5
37.0→36.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 13.5
1515
#44
28.30.7
30.3→31.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3011
#27
20.80.5
20.9→20.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 5.5
1661
#34
26.30.7
26.7→27.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—