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Red53
330950.4
501223.3
98827.4
Blue126
248589.3
210233.9
247832.9
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9716605015020025030035053126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.42.7
56.553.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 38.9
89.31.5
91.790.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
988
#16
27.42.7
27.424.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.6
33.91.5
35.934.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5012
#42
23.32.7
24.021.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.6
2478
#22
32.91.5
27.626.2
Auto
Teleop
End