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Red68
116543.3
151528.3
301120.8
Blue107
300943.1
318728.5
172655.2
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8515205010020025030068107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1165
#17
43.31.4
44.342.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.9
1726
#35
55.21.7
61.059.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1515
#44
28.31.4
31.029.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.8
3009
#30
43.11.7
49.347.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3011
#27
20.81.4
20.319.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.6
3187
#40
28.51.7
31.029.3
Auto
Teleop
End