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Red120
419.1
116543.3
330950.4
Blue35
44709.9
504914.6
480027.1
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9545015020012035

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.42.0
51.453.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 23.3
4800
#28
27.11.5
21.720.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1165
#17
43.32.0
33.735.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 28.7
5049
#48
14.61.5
12.711.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4
#11
19.12.0
1.73.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.3
4470
#49
9.91.5
18.216.7
Auto
Teleop
End