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Red138
87044.8
248718.9
179653.2
Blue107
52726.5
20430.6
35831.1
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12682050100150200250300350138107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.20.4
53.854.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 22.1
358
#11
31.10.3
31.331.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
870
#1
44.80.3
45.345.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.1
204
#30
30.60.3
30.831.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2487
#35
18.90.4
19.619.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.6
527
#12
26.50.3
26.727.0
Auto
Teleop
End