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Red176
445844.1
202712.4
36937.6
Blue115
35225.8
234711.2
287557.8
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions80620100150200250300176115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4458
#14
44.18.2
20.728.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.7
57.84.2
39.343.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
369
#17
37.68.2
45.954.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.8
352
#47
25.84.2
8.913.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2027
#42
12.48.2
11.119.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
2347
#41
11.24.2
16.921.1
Auto
Teleop
End