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Red68
26334.4
123038.1
501616.5
Blue121
456721.7
175132.5
52726.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7064010015020025030068121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.10.1
32.432.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.5
1751
#15
32.54.7
17.522.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
263
#20
34.40.1
24.624.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.9
527
#12
26.52.8
21.924.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5016
#37
16.50.1
12.011.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.3
4567
#26
21.74.7
25.129.8
Auto
Teleop
End