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Red50
234711.2
52726.5
35831.1
Blue49
35225.8
60121.3
175132.5
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions84400501001502005049

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
358
#11
31.11.3
34.633.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.4
1751
#15
32.50.2
24.624.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
527
#12
26.51.3
24.423.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
352
#47
25.80.2
11.711.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2347
#41
11.22.2
17.815.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.1
601
#50
21.30.2
10.210.4
Auto
Teleop
End