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Red43
115622.3
54529.4
175132.5
Blue197
60121.3
87134.2
56448.3
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7747010015020043197

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1751
#15
32.52.4
24.822.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.7
564
#2
48.312.1
27.239.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
545
#27
29.42.4
31.328.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.8
871
#21
34.212.1
14.226.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1156
#28
22.32.4
16.013.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
601
#50
21.312.1
10.422.5
Auto
Teleop
End