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Red100
317136.0
52726.5
88424.6
Blue28
216112.9
395028.6
27121.4
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7351010015010028

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3171
#10
36.02.3
29.031.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.4
3950
#31
28.62.1
28.026.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
527
#12
26.51.5
23.525.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.2
271
#40
21.41.9
15.313.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
884
#9
24.62.2
17.519.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.7
2161
#46
12.92.1
11.29.2
Auto
Teleop
End